{
  "personId": "sl-0460",
  "uid": "SL-0460",
  "name": "奥托·冯·俾斯麦",
  "version": "V2研究贡献账",
  "updatedAt": "2026-09-15",
  "formula": {
    "q": "Q = 10^(M/2) − 1",
    "light": "Lᵢ = aᵢ × Qᵢ",
    "total": "L = Σ Lᵢ",
    "score": "S = 2 × log₁₀(1 + L)"
  },
  "scopeNote": "本轮当前已列1项有限研究账；M与归功份额为可修订判断。未覆盖内容和未核清的负面作用不按零处理，具体缺口见逐项说明。",
  "exclusions": [
    {
      "id": "BISMARCK-UNIFICATION-WARS-AND-IMPERIAL-STATE",
      "title": "战争统一与帝国建构",
      "reason": "1866战争、1870–71战争和普鲁士主导的国家建构属于同一交付链；战争伤亡、强制与排斥是直接不可分后果，不能只抽出国家统一作正M。现有博物馆概览不足以判断净正。"
    },
    {
      "id": "BISMARCK-ANTI-SOCIALIST-LAW-AND-POLICE-REPRESSION",
      "title": "反社会主义法与警察镇压",
      "reason": "1878法及其组织、出版、集会禁令和警察执行是独立法律与执行链；严重伤害完整保留，但不与可分社会保险点重复扣。现不设正M。"
    },
    {
      "id": "BISMARCK-KULTURKAMPF",
      "title": "Kulturkampf与政治天主教排斥",
      "reason": "已读材料主要证明排除教会/中央党、法律压制及后来大部撤回；尚无独立净正交付可设M，亦不能用世俗化标签掩盖强制。"
    },
    {
      "id": "BISMARCK-POST-1871-ALLIANCE-DIPLOMACY",
      "title": "1871后联盟与外交体系",
      "reason": "LeMO可证其意图在新战争后稳定帝国并孤立法国，但意图不等于和平交付，且联盟排斥和军事承诺属于同一体系风险。当前不足以判定净正。"
    },
    {
      "id": "BISMARCK-COLONIAL-POLICY",
      "title": "殖民政策与公司—帝国行动",
      "reason": "现有基金会页只证明该领域存在档案研究，不能证明具体个人决策；殖民强制与伤害又是不可绕过的D06边界，故不设M/a。"
    }
  ],
  "items": [
    {
      "id": "OUT-SL0460-1883-1889-STATUTORY-SOCIAL-INSURANCE",
      "title": "疾病、事故、老年与伤残的法定社会保险制度",
      "year": "1883–1889",
      "summary": "以帝国法律建立可随工作变动保留的疾病给付请求权、无过错事故保障以及老年/伤残保险，使部分社会风险成为持续国家制度责任。",
      "mReason": "三部可执行法律建立跨疾病、事故、老年与伤残的法定权利和持续融资/行政结构，达到全国级重大制度量级。M已纳狭窄职业覆盖、工人缴费负担、给付不足和行政排除；这些是制度自身直接分配局限。政治参与压制由1878年另一法律与警察链实施，不以人格抵扣混入保险M。",
      "aReason": "奥托·冯·俾斯麦 0.18；德意志帝国议会与社会保险立法者 0.22；帝国社会政策官员与起草团队 0.16；雇主、工人基金与保险管理者 0.12；德国互助基金、工厂基金与欧洲社会政策前史 0.18；未解析社会保险归功 0.14。份额为可修订研究判断。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "原作、机构档案与研究",
          "url": "https://www.dhm.de/lemo/kapitel/kaiserreich/innenpolitik/sozialgesetze"
        },
        {
          "label": "原作、机构档案与研究",
          "url": "https://www.dhm.de/lemo/kapitel/kaiserreich/innenpolitik/sozialistengesetz"
        }
      ],
      "missing": "三部法的起草者、修正案与投票联盟尚未逐案闭合；保险执行中的职业/性别/阶层排除、缴费分配、行政负担和受益分布仅有概览；尚未以微观执行资料验证制度是否对部分工人产生净负担",
      "status": "缺证暂估",
      "overlapNote": "1883工人疾病保险、1884事故保险及1889老年与伤残保险的法定权利和融资/执行制度；不领取1918后劳动权、后世福利国家、全部医疗改善或同时期反社会主义镇压。",
      "M": "6.1",
      "budget": [
        {
          "actor": "奥托·冯·俾斯麦",
          "actorId": "SL-0460",
          "type": "PERSON",
          "share": "0.18"
        },
        {
          "actor": "德意志帝国议会与社会保险立法者",
          "actorId": "OTTO-VON-BISMARCK::GERMAN-REICHSTAG-SOCIAL-INSURANCE-LEGISLATORS",
          "type": "INSTITUTION",
          "share": "0.22"
        },
        {
          "actor": "帝国社会政策官员与起草团队",
          "actorId": "OTTO-VON-BISMARCK::IMPERIAL-GERMAN-SOCIAL-POLICY-OFFICIALS-AND-DRAFTERS",
          "type": "TEAM",
          "share": "0.16"
        },
        {
          "actor": "雇主、工人基金与保险管理者",
          "actorId": "OTTO-VON-BISMARCK::EMPLOYERS-WORKER-FUNDS-AND-INSURANCE-ADMINISTRATORS",
          "type": "TEAM",
          "share": "0.12"
        },
        {
          "actor": "德国互助基金、工厂基金与欧洲社会政策前史",
          "actorId": "OTTO-VON-BISMARCK::GERMAN-MUTUAL-AID-FACTORY-FUNDS-AND-EUROPEAN-SOCIAL-POLICY-PREDECESSORS",
          "type": "PREDECESSOR_POOL",
          "share": "0.18"
        },
        {
          "actor": "未解析社会保险归功",
          "actorId": "OTTO-VON-BISMARCK::UNRESOLVED-BISMARCK-SOCIAL-INSURANCE-ATTRIBUTION",
          "type": "UNALLOCATED",
          "share": "0.14"
        }
      ],
      "share": "0.18",
      "exactLight": "201.7833217743534184063870103660230326100155313248995332401134006706185944835203840696180339247742864",
      "light": "201.783322",
      "standaloneScore": "4.61",
      "lightSharePercent": "100.0000"
    }
  ],
  "exactTotalLight": "201.7833217743534184063870103660230326100155313248995332401134006706185944835203840696180339247742864",
  "totalLight": "201.783322",
  "exactScore": "4.614064465827284523937480244400971790736449212151046430246125158197736065801352225247457567624170814",
  "displayScore": "4.61",
  "provisionalCount": 1,
  "provenance": {
    "releaseId": "research-200-20260914",
    "baselineLedgerSha256": "8bdd406b3e20ae22357644499e622922c670ff11010df0478c70c23b38902108",
    "c24DeltaSha256": "b0b96144d1d3397e54a61c3d706ff2da5920fe7617e3bef50407149cb97d9d62",
    "generatorSha256": "25de659e9852503508e7c27d8a31773b8da5d6310531b1e3699d18cc94319929"
  },
  "priorScopeNote": "1项已列贡献的研究估分，含1项暂估。账本覆盖有限的主要成果，尚未穷尽生涯。M与归功份额是可修订的评估判断；未覆盖经历和负面影响不按零处理。",
  "rank": 184
}