{
  "personId": "sl-0468",
  "uid": "SL-0468",
  "name": "马里奥·莫利纳",
  "version": "V2研究贡献账",
  "updatedAt": "2026-09-15",
  "formula": {
    "q": "Q = 10^(M/2) − 1",
    "light": "Lᵢ = aᵢ × Qᵢ",
    "total": "L = Σ Lᵢ",
    "score": "S = 2 × log₁₀(1 + L)"
  },
  "scopeNote": "本轮当前已列4项有限研究账；M与归功份额为可修订判断。未覆盖内容和未核清的负面作用不按零处理，具体缺口见逐项说明。",
  "exclusions": [
    {
      "id": "UNRESOLVED-POLICY-AND-ATTRIBUTION",
      "title": "尚未落实的政策与后续归功",
      "reason": "政策实施、后世采用及各参与者的具体份额不在现有材料中逐项确证。"
    },
    {
      "id": "OZONE-RECOVERY-COLLECTIVE",
      "title": "全球臭氧恢复的单人归属",
      "reason": "科学研究、国际谈判、政策执行和产业替代共同影响臭氧层保护，不能单独归于一人。"
    }
  ],
  "items": [
    {
      "id": "OUT-SL0468-1974-CFC-CHLORINE-CATALYSED-OZONE-DEPLETION-MECHANISM",
      "title": "CFC光解与氯催化臭氧损耗机制",
      "year": "1974",
      "summary": "CFC光解与氯催化臭氧损耗机制。1974共同署名、CFC 40–150年寿命、光解产氯及臭氧催化破坏。",
      "mReason": "Nature原文摘要直接支持机制、寿命和共同署名，诺奖资料仅核共同领域；按改变全球大气化学风险理解的机制取M6.5。",
      "aReason": "Molina0.31，Rowland0.31，Crutzen0.08，其他科学前史0.12，实验室支持0.07，UCI0.04，未解析0.07。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "公开资料：www.nature.com",
          "url": "https://www.nature.com/articles/249810a0"
        },
        {
          "label": "公开资料：www.nobelprize.org",
          "url": "https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/chemistry/1995/molina/facts/"
        }
      ],
      "missing": "论文具体计算与Rowland/Molina内部工作分工未有实验笔记。；CFC排放数据和早期观测来源份额仍待引用链。",
      "status": "缺证暂估",
      "overlapNote": "1974 Nature共同论文提出CFC长期存留、平流层光解产生氯原子并催化破坏臭氧；不领取Crutzen独立NOx工作、1985臭氧洞发现、后续异相化学或全球协议收益。",
      "M": "6.5",
      "budget": [
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        {
          "actor": "弗兰克·舍伍德·罗兰",
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        {
          "actor": "保罗·克鲁岑",
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          "share": "0.08"
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        {
          "actor": "臭氧光化学、CFC性质与大气观测前史",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::CHAPMAN-LOVELOCK-AND-STRATOSPHERIC-CHEMISTRY-PREDECESSORS",
          "type": "PREDECESSOR_POOL",
          "share": "0.12"
        },
        {
          "actor": "计算、讨论和研究环境团队",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::UC-IRVINE-LABORATORY-AND-RESEARCH-SUPPORT",
          "type": "TEAM",
          "share": "0.07"
        },
        {
          "actor": "加州大学欧文分校",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::UNIVERSITY-OF-CALIFORNIA-IRVINE",
          "type": "INSTITUTION",
          "share": "0.04"
        },
        {
          "actor": "未解析的计算、资料和未具名讨论贡献",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::UNRESOLVED-MOLINA-ROWLAND-1974-ATTRIBUTION",
          "type": "UNALLOCATED",
          "share": "0.07"
        }
      ],
      "share": "0.31",
      "exactLight": "550.9566171120660683798805705097323018680950631846991609836675240606535832772430795190931237763976680",
      "light": "550.956617",
      "standaloneScore": "5.48",
      "lightSharePercent": "57.9241"
    },
    {
      "id": "OUT-SL0468-1986-1988-POLAR-ICE-HETEROGENEOUS-CHLORINE-CHEMISTRY",
      "title": "极地冰粒表面氯活化反应的实验验证",
      "year": "1986",
      "summary": "极地冰粒表面氯活化反应的实验验证。JPL团队在实验室证明冰上反应、四位作者及与1987观测比较。",
      "mReason": "JPL同期报道和Molina诺奖讲演明确四人实验、Solomon前驱及后续独立重复；按关键机制实验验证取M6.1。",
      "aReason": "Molina0.23，Tso0.14，Luisa Molina0.14，Wang0.14，Solomon0.08，PSC前史0.04，JPL团队0.10，其他前史0.08，JPL0.03，未解析0.02。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "公开资料：www.jpl.nasa.gov",
          "url": "https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/chemical-reactions-may-cause-ozone-depletion/"
        },
        {
          "label": "公开资料：www.nobelprize.org",
          "url": "https://www.nobelprize.org/uploads/2018/06/molina-lecture.pdf"
        }
      ],
      "missing": "四位作者的实验设计、仪器和分析具体分工未读实验记录。",
      "status": "缺证暂估",
      "overlapNote": "1986–1988解释极地臭氧损耗的冰粒表面氯活化实验，核心为1987四作者Science论文；不领取臭氧洞发现、Solomon先行PSC假说或极地臭氧完整机制。",
      "M": "6.1",
      "budget": [
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          "actor": "马里奥·莫利纳",
          "actorId": "SL-0468",
          "type": "PERSON",
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        },
        {
          "actor": "Tai-Ly Tso",
          "actorId": "EXT-NAME:TAI-LY-TSO",
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          "share": "0.14"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Luisa T. Molina",
          "actorId": "EXT-NAME:LUISA-T-MOLINA",
          "type": "PERSON",
          "share": "0.14"
        },
        {
          "actor": "Frank C. Y. Wang",
          "actorId": "EXT-NAME:FRANK-C-Y-WANG",
          "type": "PERSON",
          "share": "0.14"
        },
        {
          "actor": "苏珊·索罗门",
          "actorId": "SL-1086",
          "type": "PERSON",
          "share": "0.08"
        },
        {
          "actor": "PSC物理化学与极地反应框架的其他前史",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::POLAR-STRATOSPHERIC-CLOUD-HYPOTHESIS-PREDECESSORS",
          "type": "PREDECESSOR_POOL",
          "share": "0.04"
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        {
          "actor": "实验设备、技术与观测比较团队",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::JPL-LABORATORY-TECHNICAL-AND-FIELD-COMPARISON-TEAMS",
          "type": "TEAM",
          "share": "0.1"
        },
        {
          "actor": "臭氧洞发现及表面化学基线前史",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::OZONE-HOLE-OBSERVATION-AND-HETEROGENEOUS-CHEMISTRY-PREDECESSORS",
          "type": "PREDECESSOR_POOL",
          "share": "0.08"
        },
        {
          "actor": "喷气推进实验室",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::JET-PROPULSION-LABORATORY",
          "type": "INSTITUTION",
          "share": "0.03"
        },
        {
          "actor": "未解析的实验内部贡献",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::UNRESOLVED-POLAR-CHEMISTRY-ATTRIBUTION",
          "type": "UNALLOCATED",
          "share": "0.02"
        }
      ],
      "share": "0.23",
      "exactLight": "257.8342444894515901859389576899183194461309566929271813623671230791237596178316018667341544594338104",
      "light": "257.834244",
      "standaloneScore": "4.83",
      "lightSharePercent": "27.1071"
    },
    {
      "id": "OUT-SL0468-2000-2004-MEXICO-CITY-INTEGRATED-AIR-QUALITY-ASSESSMENT",
      "title": "墨西哥城空气质量综合评估与政策方案",
      "year": "2000",
      "summary": "墨西哥城空气质量综合评估与政策方案。向政府/产业/学界提交2001–2010综合战略，Mario与Luisa及跨学科团队合作。",
      "mReason": "MIT报道可证最终报告、Mario/Luisa与多国团队，墨西哥城官方PDF可证二人协调及政府委托；按已交付综合评估取M5.8。",
      "aReason": "Mario Molina0.10，Luisa Molina0.14，跨学科团队0.34，政府机构0.16，研究机构0.12，前史0.09，未解析0.05。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "公开资料：news.mit.edu",
          "url": "https://news.mit.edu/2000/molina-1206"
        },
        {
          "label": "公开资料：news.mit.edu",
          "url": "https://news.mit.edu/2003/mexico-0402"
        },
        {
          "label": "公开资料：www.aire.cdmx.gob.mx",
          "url": "https://www.aire.cdmx.gob.mx/descargas/publicaciones/gestion-ambiental-aire-memoria-documental-2001-2006/descargas/proyecto_estrategia_gestion_calidad_aire_valle_mexico_2001_2010_ing.pdf"
        }
      ],
      "missing": "报告各章节作者、模型数据与政策采纳链未逐项解析。；实际排放、暴露和健康结果不进入本点评估。",
      "status": "缺证暂估",
      "overlapNote": "2000–2004墨西哥城2001–2010空气质量综合战略、2002综合评估著作及第二阶段实施准备；只计跨学科评估和具体报告，不领取政府政策、排放变化或健康结果。",
      "M": "5.8",
      "budget": [
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          "actor": "墨西哥城环境委员会与政府机构",
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          "share": "0.16"
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        {
          "actor": "MIT、哈佛与墨西哥研究机构",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::MIT-HARVARD-MEXICAN-UNIVERSITIES-AND-RESEARCH-INSTITUTIONS",
          "type": "INSTITUTION",
          "share": "0.12"
        },
        {
          "actor": "排放清单、监测、成本效益与综合评估前史",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::URBAN-AIR-POLLUTION-MONITORING-AND-INTEGRATED-ASSESSMENT-PREDECESSORS",
          "type": "PREDECESSOR_POOL",
          "share": "0.09"
        },
        {
          "actor": "未解析的章节、模型和政策建议贡献",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::UNRESOLVED-MEXICO-CITY-ASSESSMENT-ATTRIBUTION",
          "type": "UNALLOCATED",
          "share": "0.05"
        }
      ],
      "share": "0.1",
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      "light": "79.332823",
      "standaloneScore": "3.81",
      "lightSharePercent": "8.3406"
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    {
      "id": "OUT-SL0468-1974-1980S-CFC-OZONE-RISK-COMMUNICATION",
      "title": "CFC—臭氧风险的跨科学、政策与媒体沟通",
      "year": "1974",
      "summary": "CFC—臭氧风险的跨科学、政策与媒体沟通。论文后两人决定向科学家、政策制定者和新闻媒体传达风险。",
      "mReason": "UC页面引Molina自述两位作者发表后决定向三类受众沟通；有实际公共服务，但当前缺逐次听证/评估记录，按有界沟通残余取M5.0。",
      "aReason": "Molina0.20，Rowland0.20，评估科学共同体0.18，政策人员0.13，媒体0.10，前史0.08，机构0.04，未解析0.07。",
      "sources": [
        {
          "label": "公开资料：www.universityofcalifornia.edu",
          "url": "https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/stopping-environmental-disaster-its-too-late"
        }
      ],
      "missing": "缺逐次听证、技术评估、媒体文本和Rowland/Molina分工。",
      "status": "缺证暂估",
      "overlapNote": "1974论文后Molina与Rowland把CFC—臭氧风险持续传达给其他科学家、政策制定者和媒体的公共知识服务；只计科学解释与议程设置残余，不领取法规制定、Montreal Protocol、企业替代或臭氧恢复。",
      "M": "5.0",
      "budget": [
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        {
          "actor": "大气科学评估与观测共同体",
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          "share": "0.18"
        },
        {
          "actor": "环境政策评估、监管与谈判人员",
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          "actor": "科学记者与公众传播团队",
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        {
          "actor": "大学与科学机构",
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          "type": "INSTITUTION",
          "share": "0.04"
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          "actor": "未解析的听证、媒体和评估环节的具体贡献",
          "actorId": "MARIO-MOLINA::UNRESOLVED-CFC-COMMUNICATION-ATTRIBUTION",
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      "light": "63.045553",
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  "provisionalCount": 4,
  "provenance": {
    "releaseId": "research-200-20260914",
    "baselineLedgerSha256": "8bdd406b3e20ae22357644499e622922c670ff11010df0478c70c23b38902108",
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  "rank": 80
}
