{ "personId": "sl-3648", "uid": "SL-3648", "name": "罗伊·哈罗德", "version": "V2研究贡献账", "updatedAt": "2026-09-15", "formula": { "q": "Q = 10^(M/2) − 1", "light": "Lᵢ = aᵢ × Qᵢ", "total": "L = Σ Lᵢ", "score": "S = 2 × log₁₀(1 + L)" }, "scopeNote": "本轮当前已列4项有限研究账；M与归功份额为可修订判断。未覆盖内容和未核清的负面作用不按零处理，具体缺口见逐项说明。", "exclusions": [ { "id": "HARROD-1941-1943-POSTWAR-ECONOMIC-MEMORANDA", "title": "1941–1943战后经济合作备忘录", "reason": "东京大学档案介绍支持备忘录存在，但文本、共同官员、政策采纳和战争经济后果未闭合，不能以顾问身份设点。" }, { "id": "HARROD-OTHER-BIOGRAPHICAL-AND-POLICY-WRITING", "title": "其他传记、政策与通信", "reason": "馆藏存在不等于逐件成果；未取得独立主要终态。" } ], "items": [ { "id": "OUT-SL3648-1939-1948-DYNAMIC-GROWTH-THEORY", "title": "1939动态理论论文与1948动态经济学体系", "year": "1939–1948", "summary": "将经济增长的动态路径、投资需求与不稳定问题形成明确论文并扩成系统著作。", "mReason": "论文与后续体系构成独立、长期使用的宏观理论终态，按重要理论方法估值；来源未开放全文是置信缺口，不作为M折扣。", "aReason": "罗伊·哈罗德 .57；Economic Journal与原始出版团队 .09；动态宏观与增长理论前史 0.23；同期经济学讨论网络 .04；未解析份额 .07。份额为可修订研究判断。", "sources": [ { "label": "原作记录与大学档案", "url": "https://www.lib.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/_old/keynes_harrod/introe.htm" }, { "label": "原作记录与大学档案", "url": "https://academic.oup.com/ej/article-abstract/49/193/14/5268358" } ], "missing": "未读1939论文与1948书全文；与Domar及其他增长理论的技术边界需学术史核读", "status": "缺证暂估", "overlapNote": "计1939《An Essay in Dynamic Theory》与1948《Towards a Dynamic Economics》的连续动态增长理论终态；不把Evsey Domar的独立并行工作、后世合称模型或政策应用回灌。", "M": "6.0", "budget": [ { "actor": "罗伊·哈罗德", "actorId": "SL-3648", "type": "PERSON", "share": ".57" }, { "actor": "Economic Journal与原始出版团队", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::ECONOMIC-JOURNAL-AND-ORIGINAL-PUBLISHING-TEAMS", "type": "TEAM", "share": ".09" }, { "actor": "动态宏观与增长理论前史", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::DYNAMIC-MACROECONOMICS-AND-GROWTH-PREDECESSORS", "type": "PREDECESSOR_POOL", "share": "0.23" }, { "actor": "同期经济学讨论网络", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::CONTEMPORARY-ECONOMIC-DISCUSSION-NETWORK", "type": "TEAM", "share": ".04" }, { "actor": "未解析份额", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::UNALLOCATED-SL3648-DYNAMIC", "type": "UNALLOCATED", "share": 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"https://www.lib.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/_old/keynes_harrod/introe.htm" } ], "missing": "未读原书正文、书评和后续接受史", "status": "缺证暂估", "overlapNote": "计1956归纳逻辑专著的独立逻辑/哲学文本终态；不从经济学名声推定价值，不领取后世归纳逻辑发展。", "M": "5.3", "budget": [ { "actor": "罗伊·哈罗德", "actorId": "SL-3648", "type": "PERSON", "share": ".61" }, { "actor": "原始出版与编辑团队", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::ORIGINAL-LOGIC-PUBLISHING-AND-EDITORIAL-TEAM", "type": "TEAM", "share": ".09" }, { "actor": "归纳逻辑、概率与哲学前史", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::INDUCTIVE-LOGIC-PROBABILITY-AND-PHILOSOPHY-PREDECESSORS", "type": "PREDECESSOR_POOL", "share": ".22" }, { "actor": "未解析份额", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::UNALLOCATED-SL3648-LOGIC", "type": "UNALLOCATED", "share": ".08" } ], "share": "0.61", "exactLight": "271.8669912120875023193128198348197359901531089508888866030201349198472379331778475315980536056601637", "light": "271.866991", "standaloneScore": "4.87", "lightSharePercent": "20.0272" }, { "id": "OUT-SL3648-1951-KEYNES-BIOGRAPHY", "title": "《The Life of John Maynard Keynes》传记写作", "year": "1951", "summary": "将亲近学术关系和档案材料组织为一部完整生涯叙事。", "mReason": "有明确独立传记终态，价值在材料组织和叙事，不复制凯恩斯经济理论。", "aReason": "罗伊·哈罗德 .48；凯恩斯通信者与文献贡献者 .10；传记原始出版与编辑团队 .08；经济学传记与史学前史 0.27；未解析份额 .07。份额为可修订研究判断。", "sources": [ { "label": "原作记录与大学档案", "url": "https://www.lib.e.u-tokyo.ac.jp/_old/keynes_harrod/introe.htm" }, { "label": "原作记录与大学档案", "url": "https://searcharchives.bl.uk/catalog/032-001965216" } ], "missing": "未读传记正文和档案选择记录；凯恩斯生涯与既有思想不是新传记的共同创作，按已消费材料保留；具体协助仍待档案。", "status": "缺证暂估", "overlapNote": "计1951凯恩斯传记的文本与材料组织残余；不把凯恩斯理论、Harrod与Keynes通信本身或后世凯恩斯主义归为传记作者。", "M": "5.2", "budget": [ { "actor": "罗伊·哈罗德", "actorId": "SL-3648", "type": "PERSON", "share": ".48" }, { "actor": "凯恩斯通信者与文献贡献者", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::KEYNES-CORRESPONDENTS-AND-DOCUMENT-CONTRIBUTORS", "type": "TEAM", "share": ".10" }, { "actor": "传记原始出版与编辑团队", "actorId": "ROY-HARROD::ORIGINAL-BIOGRAPHY-PUBLISHING-AND-EDITORIAL-TEAM", "type": "TEAM", "share": ".08" }, { "actor": "经济学传记与史学前史", "actorId": 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