Displayed to two decimal places.
PERSON · STARLIGHT
Roy Harrod
Recorded name: 罗伊·哈罗德
Roy Harrod was a British economist who studied international trade, business cycles, and dynamic growth; he also wrote on inductive logic and authored a Keynes biography.
Original Chinese introduction
罗伊·哈罗德是英国经济学家，研究国际贸易、商业周期和动态增长，也撰写归纳逻辑著作与凯恩斯传记。
Harrod linked saving, investment, and growth paths, publishing a dynamic-theory article and then Towards a Dynamic Economics. His earlier trade and cycle research forms the background to that exploration; beyond economic models, he also discussed inductive reasoning and used correspondence and personal-contact materials to write a Keynes biography.
Original Chinese context
哈罗德把储蓄、投资与增长路径联系起来，先后发表动态理论论文和《走向动态经济学》。他早期的贸易与周期研究构成这一探索的背景；经济模型之外，他也讨论归纳推理，并利用通信与个人交往材料撰写凯恩斯传记。
Introduction sources
- University of Tokyo Keynes–Harrod archive introduction ↗Original Chinese label · 东京大学Keynes–Harrod档案介绍
- Economic Journal record of the 1939 article ↗Original Chinese label · Economic Journal 1939论文记录
- British Library Harrod Papers ↗Original Chinese label · 英国图书馆Harrod Papers
Derived from the current score.
Contribution groups assessed so far; coverage is still being expanded.
ASSESSMENT SCOPEWhat this score covers
All included contribution titles and notes are available in English. The complete original text remains available in Chinese; both editions use the same scores and source links.
Uncovered contributions and unresolved harms are not treated as zero. This is not a complete assessment of a lifetime.
4 included contributions have incomplete evidence; the relevant gap appears with that contribution.
Original scope note
This research record currently includes 4 outcomes within a limited scope; M and attribution shares are revisable judgments. Uncovered content and negative effects not yet clarified are not treated as zero; specific gaps appear in the item-by-item explanations.
Original Chinese scope
本轮当前已列4项有限研究账；M与归功份额为可修订判断。未覆盖内容和未核清的负面作用不按零处理，具体缺口见逐项说明。
CALCULATIONHow the score is calculated
Q = 10^(M/2) − 1; Lᵢ = aᵢ × Qᵢ; L = Σ Lᵢ; S = 2 × log₁₀(1 + L).
M is an outcome’s assessed magnitude and a is the person’s allocated share. A standalone score is only a per-item reference; the attributed light from distinct contributions is what can be combined.
SCORE DETAILS
4 evaluated contributions
M is the assessed magnitude of an outcome; attribution is the person’s share of credit. Attributed light can be added. The standalone score is only a per-item reference and must not be added across rows.
Scroll sideways for scores and attribution.
| Outcome | M | Attribution share | Attributed light | Standalone score | Share of total | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01The 1939 dynamic-theory article and the 1948 dynamic-economics system1939动态理论论文与1948动态经济学体系OUT-SL3648-1939-1948-DYNAMIC-GROWTH-THEORY · 1939–1948 | 6.0 | 57% | 569.430000 | 5.51 | 41.9474% | Provisional estimate · incomplete evidence |
| 02International economics and business-cycle writings国际经济学与商业周期著作OUT-SL3648-1933-1936-INTERNATIONAL-ECONOMICS-TRADE-CYCLE · 1933–1936 | 5.5 | 58% | 325.577969 | 5.03 | 23.9839% | Provisional estimate · incomplete evidence |
| 03The inductive-logic system of Foundations of Inductive Logic《Foundations of Inductive Logic》的归纳逻辑体系OUT-SL3648-1956-FOUNDATIONS-INDUCTIVE-LOGIC · 1956 | 5.3 | 61% | 271.866991 | 4.87 | 20.0272% | Provisional estimate · incomplete evidence |
| 04The biographical writing of The Life of John Maynard Keynes《The Life of John Maynard Keynes》传记写作OUT-SL3648-1951-KEYNES-BIOGRAPHY · 1951 | 5.2 | 48% | 190.611442 | 4.56 | 14.0415% | Provisional estimate · incomplete evidence |
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NOTES AND SOURCES
Contribution notes and source links
English translations of the included notes appear below, with their Chinese originals available for comparison.
01The 1939 dynamic-theory article and the 1948 dynamic-economics system1939动态理论论文与1948动态经济学体系OUT-SL3648-1939-1948-DYNAMIC-GROWTH-THEORY
Record year1939–1948
summaryFormulates the dynamic path of economic growth, investment requirements, and instability problems in a clear article, then expands it into a systematic book.
Original Chinese · summary
将经济增长的动态路径、投资需求与不稳定问题形成明确论文并扩成系统著作。
M rationaleThe article and subsequent system constitute an independent, long-used macroeconomic-theory end-state, valued as an important theoretical method; the fact that the sources do not make the full text available is a confidence gap, not an M discount.
Original Chinese · M rationale
论文与后续体系构成独立、长期使用的宏观理论终态，按重要理论方法估值；来源未开放全文是置信缺口，不作为M折扣。
attribution rationaleRoy Harrod .57; Economic Journal and the original publication team .09; earlier work in dynamic macroeconomics and growth theory 0.23; contemporaneous economics discussion network .04; unresolved share .07. The shares are revisable research judgments.
Original Chinese · attribution rationale
罗伊·哈罗德 .57；Economic Journal与原始出版团队 .09；动态宏观与增长理论前史 0.23；同期经济学讨论网络 .04；未解析份额 .07。份额为可修订研究判断。
overlap boundaryCounts the continuous dynamic-growth-theory end-state of the 1939 An Essay in Dynamic Theory and the 1948 Towards a Dynamic Economics; does not feed back Evsey Domar’s independent parallel work, the later jointly named model, or policy applications.
Original Chinese · overlap boundary
计1939《An Essay in Dynamic Theory》与1948《Towards a Dynamic Economics》的连续动态增长理论终态；不把Evsey Domar的独立并行工作、后世合称模型或政策应用回灌。
Evidence gapsThe full 1939 article and 1948 book have not been read; the technical boundary with Domar and other growth theories requires scholarly-historical reading.
Original Chinese · evidence gaps
未读1939论文与1948书全文；与Domar及其他增长理论的技术边界需学术史核读
Full attribution budget
Every recorded actor remains visible. Share (0–1) retains the ledger’s exact decimal value.
- .57Roy HarrodOriginal Chinese · 罗伊·哈罗德Person
- .09Economic Journal and the original publication teamOriginal Chinese · Economic Journal与原始出版团队Team
- 0.23Earlier work in dynamic macroeconomics and growth theoryOriginal Chinese · 动态宏观与增长理论前史Predecessor pool
- .04Contemporaneous economics discussion networkOriginal Chinese · 同期经济学讨论网络Team
- .07Unresolved shareOriginal Chinese · 未解析份额Unallocated
Source links
- Original-work records and university archives ↗Original Chinese label · 原作记录与大学档案
- Original-work records and university archives ↗Original Chinese label · 原作记录与大学档案
02International economics and business-cycle writings国际经济学与商业周期著作OUT-SL3648-1933-1936-INTERNATIONAL-ECONOMICS-TRADE-CYCLE
Record year1933–1936
summaryProduces two independently usable specialized texts that systematize international-economics questions and cyclical fluctuations.
Original Chinese · summary
形成两部可独立使用的专题文本，把国际经济与周期波动问题系统化。
M rationaleThe two specialized books cover distinct but adjacent macroeconomic questions and are valued as a family of systematic economic texts; this does not claim that every proposition is original.
Original Chinese · M rationale
两部专题著作覆盖不同但相邻的宏观问题，作为一组系统经济文本估值，不声称每一命题均原创。
attribution rationaleRoy Harrod .58; original economics publication and editorial team .10; earlier work in trade, monetary, and cycle theory .21; contemporaneous economics discussion network .04; unresolved share .07. The shares are revisable research judgments.
Original Chinese · attribution rationale
罗伊·哈罗德 .58；原始经济学出版与编辑团队 .10；贸易、货币与周期理论前史 .21；同期经济讨论网络 .04；未解析份额 .07。份额为可修订研究判断。
overlap boundaryCombines the 1933 International Economics and the 1936 The Trade Cycle as a family of international-trade/monetary and cycle analysis; does not duplicate M by book count, nor duplicate the post-1939 dynamic-growth system.
Original Chinese · overlap boundary
合并1933《International Economics》和1936《The Trade Cycle》为国际贸易/货币与周期分析族；不按书数重复M，也不重复1939后的动态增长体系。
Evidence gapsThe archival introduction is not the text of the original books; the specific models and originality have not been checked chapter by chapter. Shared concepts between international economics and dynamic theory are inputs only and are not claimed twice.
Original Chinese · evidence gaps
档案介绍不是原书正文，具体模型和原创性未逐章核；国际经济与动态理论的共享概念只作输入，不双领
Full attribution budget
Every recorded actor remains visible. Share (0–1) retains the ledger’s exact decimal value.
- .58Roy HarrodOriginal Chinese · 罗伊·哈罗德Person
- .10Original economics publication and editorial teamOriginal Chinese · 原始经济学出版与编辑团队Team
- .21Earlier work in trade, monetary, and cycle theoryOriginal Chinese · 贸易、货币与周期理论前史Predecessor pool
- .04Contemporaneous economics discussion networkOriginal Chinese · 同期经济讨论网络Team
- .07Unresolved shareOriginal Chinese · 未解析份额Unallocated
Source links
- Original-work records and university archives ↗Original Chinese label · 原作记录与大学档案
03The inductive-logic system of Foundations of Inductive Logic《Foundations of Inductive Logic》的归纳逻辑体系OUT-SL3648-1956-FOUNDATIONS-INDUCTIVE-LOGIC
Record year1956
summaryDevelops problems of inductive logic into a systematic monograph, constituting a knowledge outcome distinct from economic models.
Original Chinese · summary
将归纳逻辑问题形成系统专著，构成区别于经济模型的知识成果。
M rationaleMoves beyond economics to produce a complete logic monograph, valued as a general systematic text of thought; not having read the text only limits confidence in particular propositions.
Original Chinese · M rationale
跨出经济学形成完整逻辑专著，按一般系统思想文本估值；尚未读正文只限制具体命题置信。
attribution rationaleRoy Harrod .61; original publication and editorial team .09; earlier work in inductive logic, probability, and philosophy .22; unresolved share .08. The shares are revisable research judgments.
Original Chinese · attribution rationale
罗伊·哈罗德 .61；原始出版与编辑团队 .09；归纳逻辑、概率与哲学前史 .22；未解析份额 .08。份额为可修订研究判断。
overlap boundaryCounts the independent logical/philosophical textual end-state of the 1956 inductive-logic monograph; does not infer value from reputation in economics or claim later developments in inductive logic.
Original Chinese · overlap boundary
计1956归纳逻辑专著的独立逻辑/哲学文本终态；不从经济学名声推定价值，不领取后世归纳逻辑发展。
Evidence gapsThe original book, reviews, and subsequent reception history have not been read.
Original Chinese · evidence gaps
未读原书正文、书评和后续接受史
Full attribution budget
Every recorded actor remains visible. Share (0–1) retains the ledger’s exact decimal value.
- .61Roy HarrodOriginal Chinese · 罗伊·哈罗德Person
- .09Original publication and editorial teamOriginal Chinese · 原始出版与编辑团队Team
- .22Earlier work in inductive logic, probability, and philosophyOriginal Chinese · 归纳逻辑、概率与哲学前史Predecessor pool
- .08Unresolved shareOriginal Chinese · 未解析份额Unallocated
Source links
- Original-work records and university archives ↗Original Chinese label · 原作记录与大学档案
04The biographical writing of The Life of John Maynard Keynes《The Life of John Maynard Keynes》传记写作OUT-SL3648-1951-KEYNES-BIOGRAPHY
Record year1951
summaryOrganizes close academic relationships and archival materials into a complete life narrative.
Original Chinese · summary
将亲近学术关系和档案材料组织为一部完整生涯叙事。
M rationaleThere is a clearly independent biographical end-state; its value lies in organizing materials and narrative, rather than reproducing Keynes’s economic theory.
Original Chinese · M rationale
有明确独立传记终态，价值在材料组织和叙事，不复制凯恩斯经济理论。
attribution rationaleRoy Harrod .48; Keynes correspondents and documentary contributors .10; original biography publication and editorial team .08; earlier work in economic biography and historiography 0.27; unresolved share .07. The shares are revisable research judgments.
Original Chinese · attribution rationale
罗伊·哈罗德 .48；凯恩斯通信者与文献贡献者 .10；传记原始出版与编辑团队 .08；经济学传记与史学前史 0.27；未解析份额 .07。份额为可修订研究判断。
overlap boundaryCounts the textual and material-organizational residual of the 1951 Keynes biography; does not assign Keynes’s theory, the Harrod–Keynes correspondence itself, or later Keynesianism to the biographer.
Original Chinese · overlap boundary
计1951凯恩斯传记的文本与材料组织残余；不把凯恩斯理论、Harrod与Keynes通信本身或后世凯恩斯主义归为传记作者。
Evidence gapsThe biography text and archival-selection record have not been read; Keynes’s life and existing thought are not co-created by the new biography and are retained as already accounted-for material; specific assistance still awaits archival work.
Original Chinese · evidence gaps
未读传记正文和档案选择记录；凯恩斯生涯与既有思想不是新传记的共同创作，按已消费材料保留；具体协助仍待档案。
Full attribution budget
Every recorded actor remains visible. Share (0–1) retains the ledger’s exact decimal value.
- .48Roy HarrodOriginal Chinese · 罗伊·哈罗德Person
- .10Keynes correspondents and documentary contributorsOriginal Chinese · 凯恩斯通信者与文献贡献者Team
- .08Original biography publication and editorial teamOriginal Chinese · 传记原始出版与编辑团队Team
- 0.27Earlier work in economic biography and historiographyOriginal Chinese · 经济学传记与史学前史Predecessor pool
- .07Unresolved shareOriginal Chinese · 未解析份额Unallocated
Source links
- Original-work records and university archives ↗Original Chinese label · 原作记录与大学档案
- Original-work records and university archives ↗Original Chinese label · 原作记录与大学档案
BOUNDARIES NOT COUNTED
Not included in this score
These subjects are recorded as exclusions and are not silently treated as zero or as part of the included outcomes.
1941–1943 memoranda on postwar economic cooperation
1941–1943战后经济合作备忘录
Reason The University of Tokyo archive introduction supports the existence of the memoranda, but the text, fellow officials, policy adoption, and wartime economic consequences are unresolved; no point can be set merely on the basis of an advisory role.
Original Chinese reason
东京大学档案介绍支持备忘录存在，但文本、共同官员、政策采纳和战争经济后果未闭合，不能以顾问身份设点。
Other biographies, policies, and correspondence
其他传记、政策与通信
Reason The existence of a holding does not amount to itemized outcomes; no independent major end-state has been obtained.
Original Chinese reason
馆藏存在不等于逐件成果；未取得独立主要终态。
How to read this score
Scores can change when evidence is reviewed. The method page explains how magnitude, attribution, and included results relate to the displayed score.
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