COMPASS · DARK-STAR CATALOGUE

Where civilization remains dark, and where effort may matter most.

The Compass maps unresolved civilizational gaps across Frontier, Guardrails and Foundations. A Dark Star's potential tier describes the possible scale of a breakthrough. It is not a realized result, a person score, or a forecast.

All 1154 records are accessible through English navigation. Titles and summaries are translated for 347 records; 807 remain in Chinese and are marked as awaiting translation. Detailed records remain in Chinese.

View live review and source coverage (Chinese) →

CATALOGUE · LIVE DERIVATION

Potential tiers, from high to low.

Lighting up a Dark Star is a relationship that must be established by evidence. Each contributor’s realized contribution is assessed independently through an outcome ledger; no personal score is inherited from a Dark Star’s potential.

Explore 1154 Dark Stars, with their challenges, progress and the teams working on them. How potential is assessed →

Potential T9

A key that could unlock the rest

No catalogued T9 potential Dark Star is currently ready for display.

0 records
Potential T7

A decisive threshold

These are often problems an entire generation cannot work around.

25 records
EPotential T7
Illustration: AI for scientific discovery

AI for scientific discovery

Discover new algorithms in automatically verifiable scientific tasks.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Illustration: Room-temperature superconductivity

Room-temperature superconductivity

Zero resistance at room temperature.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Neuroscience of consciousness

Neuroscience of consciousness

Explain subjective experience and neural activity through preregistered competing theories and cross-tool replication.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Quantum gravity

Quantum gravity

Unify physics where its two pillars conflict: black holes and the beginning of the universe.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Yang–Mills mass gap

Yang–Mills mass gap

Construct four-dimensional quantum Yang–Mills theory and prove a positive mass gap.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
The Langlands program

The Langlands program

Connect the arithmetic core of number theory and representation theory after geometric milestones.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
The nature of dark matter

The nature of dark matter

Identify the particle or other physics behind the universe's gravitational dark component.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Dark energy

Dark energy

Explain cosmic acceleration and determine whether dark energy is constant or evolving.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Matter–antimatter asymmetry

Matter–antimatter asymmetry

Find why the early universe retained ordinary matter.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T7
Illustration: Bloom's two-sigma problem

Bloom's two-sigma problem

Reproduce high-quality one-to-one tutoring gains at real school costs.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T7
AI control protocols

AI control protocols

Use permissions, monitoring and audits to contain catastrophic actions even when objectives are untrusted.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T7
Nuclear command and control safety

Nuclear command and control safety

Prevent mistaken or unauthorized nuclear use amid cyberattack, warning failure and crisis pressure.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Aneutronic fusion

Aneutronic fusion

Reduce neutron burden to auditable levels while retaining net electricity across the full system.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Illustration: Detection of extraterrestrial life

Detection of extraterrestrial life

Distinguish independent life from non-biological processes on worlds near and far.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Reversible computing

Reversible computing

Beat the efficiency of the best irreversible architecture at equal throughput and error rate.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T7
Criteria for digital minds

Criteria for digital minds

Connect scientific indicators to graded protection obligations under uncertainty about consciousness.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T7
Topological qubits · anyon encoding

Topological qubits · anyon encoding

Build quantum information into topology itself, leaving noise little room to act.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T7
Whole-brain simulation and connectome reconstruction

Whole-brain simulation and connectome reconstruction

Turn a brain's wiring map into a functioning simulation, not merely connection data.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T7
Illustration: Legal protection gap for climate migration

Legal protection gap for climate migration

Existing law does not create an independent status for all climate-displaced people.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
CATALOGUE

6 more records

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Potential T6

A high ground already under attack

The route is becoming clearer, but a decisive advance is still missing.

193 records
EPotential T6
Illustration: Fusion breeding blankets

Fusion breeding blankets

The hidden wall of controlled fusion.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Illustration: Protein design

Protein design

Design proteins from scratch.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T6
Illustration: Intervening in aging

Intervening in aging

Make aging a tractable target.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Illustration: General-purpose robotics

General-purpose robotics

Hands that can do useful work.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Self-driving laboratories · automated science

Self-driving laboratories · automated science

Close the loop from hypothesis to experiment to iteration and raise science's output.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T6
Broad-spectrum antivirals and rapid adaptation platforms

Broad-spectrum antivirals and rapid adaptation platforms

Prepare drugs for many viruses before a new one reaches the clinic.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Limb regeneration

Limb regeneration

Why can salamanders regrow a leg while humans cannot?

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Minimal synthetic cells

Minimal synthetic cells

Build cells that can obtain energy, replicate, divide and evolve from nonliving components.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T6
Gene-drive governance

Gene-drive governance

Set boundaries before self-spreading genetic technologies are released into wild populations.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T6
Gain-of-function governance

Gain-of-function governance

A global brake for research that increases pathogen transmissibility or lethality.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
The Riemann hypothesis

The Riemann hypothesis

A foundational number-theory problem about zeta-function zeros and the distribution of primes.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
The nature of neutrinos

The nature of neutrinos

Whether neutrinos are their own antiparticles bears on mass and matter itself.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Strong CP and the axion

Strong CP and the axion

Why strong interactions preserve CP symmetry, and whether the axion also explains dark matter.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Proton decay

Proton decay

The direct experimental window on grand unification.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
The Higgs frontier

The Higgs frontier

A post-LHC choice over energy frontiers and precision needed to test the Higgs and vacuum stability.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Formalized mathematics

Formalized mathematics

Move mathematics into machine-verifiable systems: a foundation for trust and for AI mathematics.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Illustration: Statistical theory of turbulence

Statistical theory of turbulence

Predict intermittency, structure functions and transport from equations within stated boundaries.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Universal nonequilibrium theory

Universal nonequilibrium theory

Find bounded common laws for far-from-equilibrium flow, fluctuation and dissipation.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T6
Quantum repeaters

Quantum repeaters

Distribute entanglement to connect quantum computers and sensors into a new network layer.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
CATALOGUE

174 more records

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Potential T5

Real, but lower in the current ordering

These gaps matter; their potential is simply not among the highest currently catalogued.

554 records
EPotential T5
Illustration: The power wall

The power wall

Energy as the foundation for computing capacity and the frontier.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T5
Illustration: DNA writing

DNA writing

Move from reading genes to writing them.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
Reforming science funding

Reforming science funding

Repair the upstream machinery that produces breakthroughs: funding and review.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T5
AI × bio · the red-line intersection

AI × bio · the red-line intersection

AI lowers the barrier to engineered pandemics, making defensive investment unusually asymmetric.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T5
Mechanistic interpretability

Mechanistic interpretability

Open the neural-network black box and see what it is computing.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T5
Illustration: Fault-tolerant quantum computing

Fault-tolerant quantum computing

Make qubits stable and scalable enough to cross from demonstration to hard problems.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T5
Illustration: Brain–computer interfaces

Brain–computer interfaces

Let brains communicate directly with machines.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T5
Illustration: Solid-state batteries

Solid-state batteries

Replace liquid electrolyte to improve both energy density and safety.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T5
Neuromorphic computing

Neuromorphic computing

Compute intelligently at very low power using brain-inspired chips.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T5
Illustration: Long-duration energy storage

Long-duration energy storage

Store wind and solar power for tens of hours through seasons.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T5
Mirror life · draw the line before creation

Mirror life · draw the line before creation

Preventive governance before a potentially irreversible form of life is made.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
General mRNA platforms

General mRNA platforms

Make mRNA a rapid target-switching platform for more diseases and pathogens.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
Alzheimer's and neurodegeneration

Alzheimer's and neurodegeneration

Find interventions that genuinely reverse disease progression.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
Universal vaccine platforms

Universal vaccine platforms

Build broad, fast-response vaccines before the next pandemic.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
Precision fermentation · biomanufacturing

Precision fermentation · biomanufacturing

Use microbial factories for medicines, materials and food ingredients.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
Institutional engineering · cooperative governance

Institutional engineering · cooperative governance

Keep the foundations of democratic cooperation from being emptied out.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
Care work · institutionalized realization work

Care work · institutionalized realization work

Make essential care visible and sustainable as a physical carrier of the realization gate.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T5
Enhanced geothermal · deep drilling

Enhanced geothermal · deep drilling

Bring drilling technology into granite so geothermal power can work beyond volcanic regions.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T5
Biological nitrogen fixation

Biological nitrogen fixation

Let crops fix nitrogen like legumes and reduce fertilizer dependence.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
CATALOGUE

535 more records

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Potential T4

Concrete, durable points of attack

Their boundaries are legible enough to offer a first entry into a civilization-scale problem.

233 records
RPotential T4
Illustration: Post-quantum cryptography

Post-quantum cryptography

Move encryption to quantum-resistant algorithms before the window closes.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T4
Illustration: EUV lithography

EUV lithography

The physical gateway to more advanced chips.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T4
Illustration: Direct air capture of CO₂

Direct air capture of CO₂

Remove carbon from air at scalable cost and energy use.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Illustration: Grid modernization

Grid modernization

Let aging grids absorb distributed generation and volatile loads.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T4
Space-based solar power

Space-based solar power

Generate in orbit and transmit power to Earth regardless of weather or night.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Low-energy desalination

Low-energy desalination

Make fresh water abundant while reducing energy use and brine damage.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T4
Artificial wombs

Artificial wombs

Support safe external gestation, beginning with premature infants.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Illustration: Organ cryopreservation banks

Organ cryopreservation banks

Turn transplantation from a race against time into managed inventory.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Xenotransplantation

Xenotransplantation

Address organ scarcity while overcoming cross-species rejection and viral risk.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Artificial blood

Artificial blood

Create a scalable, storable synthetic oxygen carrier.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
A new tuberculosis vaccine

A new tuberculosis vaccine

Replace the century-old vaccine with one that works against adult pulmonary TB.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Non-addictive pain relief

Non-addictive pain relief

Deliver effective analgesia without addiction.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T4
Subsea-cable resilience

Subsea-cable resilience

Protect a fragile single point in the physical internet.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T4
Terahertz communications

Terahertz communications

Open the 100 GHz–1 THz frontier of wireless bandwidth.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Disruption-tolerant communications

Disruption-tolerant communications

Maintain basic self-organizing communications when stations, power and internet fail.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T4
Dynamic spectrum sharing

Dynamic spectrum sharing

Expand wireless capacity through real-time sensing and coordination.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T4
Timing resilience

Timing resilience

Back up GNSS timing, a single point for finance, grids and communications.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T4
Routing and root security

Routing and root security

Fix structural weaknesses in BGP routing and DNS.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T4
Low-cost cross-border payments

Low-cost cross-border payments

Cut the channel tax on remittances sent by the poorest workers.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
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214 more records

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Potential T3

Focused sector challenges

Their scope is limited, but progress can still move a field forward.

28 records
EPotential T3
On-orbit cryogenic refuelling

On-orbit cryogenic refuelling

Enable reusable launchers to store and transfer propellant for deep space.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Electrofuels

Electrofuels

Use clean electricity to synthesize liquid fuels for hard-to-electrify transport.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Uranium from seawater

Uranium from seawater

Make the ocean's millennial uranium reserve usable.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Small modular reactors

Small modular reactors

Standardize nuclear power for factory-scale production.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Nuclear-waste transmutation

Nuclear-waste transmutation

Convert long-lived waste into shorter-lived isotopes.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T3
Soil restoration · carbon farming

Soil restoration · carbon farming

Restore soils while storing carbon and producing food.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T3
Alternative protein · cellular agriculture

Alternative protein · cellular agriculture

Make affordable protein without the land and climate burden of conventional production.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Number sense

Number sense

Explain how brains represent quantity and approximation.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Vertical-farm economics

Vertical-farm economics

Make controlled-environment agriculture viable despite energy and capital costs.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T3
Banana TR4

Banana TR4

Protect a globally dominant crop from a soil fungus and genetic monoculture.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential T3
Biofortification

Biofortification

Put missing micronutrients into staple crops.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Neuroaesthetics

Neuroaesthetics

Explain why beauty exists and how art acts on minds and society.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential T3
Enhanced rock weathering

Enhanced rock weathering

Measure and scale carbon removal by accelerating natural weathering.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Scaling ocean energy

Scaling ocean energy

Move wave and tidal power beyond six decades without a dominant design.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Megawatt electric propulsion

Megawatt electric propulsion

Raise electric propulsion to the scale needed for Mars freight.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
In-space assembly

In-space assembly

Build orbital structures beyond launch-fairing limits.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Lunar resources

Lunar resources

Use lunar soil and ice for oxygen, water and metals.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Mars propellant

Mars propellant

Make return fuel from Martian CO₂ and subsurface ice.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential T3
Artificial gills

Artificial gills

Extract dissolved oxygen from water without conventional diving equipment.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
CATALOGUE

9 more records

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Potential T2

Specific implementation barriers

Narrow technical bottlenecks where frontline participation can matter.

1 records
Potential pending

Catalogued, not yet tiered.

These entries have no potential tier. Their inclusion does not imply an ordering.

118 records
RPotential pending
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture

Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture

The number of rational points on an elliptic curve is hidden in zeros of an L-function.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Goldbach's conjecture

Goldbach's conjecture

Every even integer greater than two is the sum of two primes, still unproved after vast verification.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Smooth four-dimensional Poincaré conjecture

Smooth four-dimensional Poincaré conjecture

The smooth four-dimensional case remains topology's last Poincaré frontier.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Jacobian conjecture

Jacobian conjecture

Does a polynomial map with constant nonzero Jacobian always have an inverse?

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Hadwiger–Nelson problem

Hadwiger–Nelson problem

How many colors are needed to color the plane when points one unit apart must differ?

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Baum–Connes conjecture

Baum–Connes conjecture

Can a group's symmetries be fully captured by the K-theory of its operator algebra?

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Senolytics in humans

Senolytics in humans

Clear senescent cells that remain alive but no longer serve the body.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Synthetic embryo models

Synthetic embryo models

Model early development from stem cells in vitro, without creating viable human embryos.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Organoid intelligence

Organoid intelligence

Teach living brain tissue to compute and learn.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
In-vivo gene-editing delivery

In-vivo gene-editing delivery

Deliver CRISPR safely throughout the body with next-generation vectors.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
EPotential pending
Minimally invasive high-bandwidth BCI

Minimally invasive high-bandwidth BCI

Hear brain signals clearly without opening the skull.

E · FrontierUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Thymus regeneration

Thymus regeneration

Rebuild the immune system's training ground to reverse immune aging.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Whole-body cryopreservation

Whole-body cryopreservation

Preserve cases medicine cannot yet treat until answers exist.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Parkinson's disease modification

Parkinson's disease modification

Stop neuronal death rather than only suppressing symptoms.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
APotential pending
A validated aging-biomarker platform

A validated aging-biomarker platform

Make the world's aging measures agree on the same quantity.

A · FoundationsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Pancreatic cancer

Pancreatic cancer

Open the black box of a cancer usually found too late.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
CAR-T for autoimmune disease

CAR-T for autoimmune disease

Teach the immune system to stop attacking the body.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Candida auris

Candida auris

Contain a drug-resistant fungal pathogen that persists and spreads in hospitals.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
RPotential pending
Long COVID and ME/CFS

Long COVID and ME/CFS

Find mechanisms for disabling chronic illness after infection.

R · GuardrailsUnlit
Chinese detailed record →
CATALOGUE

99 more records

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DISTRIBUTION

The three axes of the current catalogue.

E499

Frontier

Extends the boundary of human capability.

R387

Guardrails

Keeps increasing power in service of people; this axis has veto force.

A263

Foundations

Helps civilization's gains reach everyone.

5 additional records have an axis pending review and are not included in these three counts.